If you are one of those people sitting on the fence trying to decide if it is a good time to buy a home, ask yourself two simple questions
Do I think home values will be higher a year from now?
Do I think mortgage rates will be higher a year from now?
Where will home prices be a year from now?
The most recent projections from the major industry forecasters, show that the expectation is home prices will increase by 7.7%. Let’s use a home that’s valued today at $325,000 as an example.
If the buyer makes a 10% down payment ($32,500), they’ll end up borrowing $292,500 for their mortgage. Applying the projected rate of home price appreciation, that same house will cost $350,025 next year.
As a result of rising home prices alone, a prospective buyer will have to put down an additional $2,503 and borrow an additional $22,523 just for waiting a year to make their move.
Where will mortgage rates be a year from now?
Today, mortgage rates are hovering around 3%. However, most experts believe they’ll rise as the economy continues to recover. Any increase in the mortgage rate will also increase a purchaser’s cost.
Here are the forecasts for the first quarter of 2022 from four major entities:
Freddie Mac – 3.5%
Fannie Mae – 3.5%
National Association of Realtors – 3.5%
Mortgage Bankers Association – 3.9%
The projections average out to 3.6% among these four forecasts, a jump up from where they are today.
What does it mean to you if home values and mortgage rates increase?
A buyer will pay a lot more in mortgage payments each month if both of these variables increase. Assuming a buyer purchases a $325,000 home this year with a 30-year fixed-rate loan at 3% after making a 10% down payment, their monthly principal and interest payment would be $1,233.
That same home one year from now could be $350,025, and the mortgage rate could be 3.6% (based on the industry forecasts mentioned above). That monthly principal and interest payment, after putting down 10%, totals $1,432.
The difference in the monthly mortgage payment would be $199. That’s $2,388 more per year and $71,640 over the life of the loan.
Add to that the approximately $25,000 a house with a similar value would build in home equity this year as a result of home price appreciation, and the total net worth increase a purchaser could gain by buying this year is nearly $100,000. That’s a small fortune.
When asking if they should buy a home, many potential buyers think of the nonfinancial benefits of owning a home. When asking when to buy, the financial benefits make it clear that doing so now is much more advantageous than waiting until next year.
At VIP Realty, we have helped thousands of people achieve their dream of homeownership. Greg & Evan Skinner take pride in the relationships they build while working relentlessly on their client's behalves selling commercial, industrial and high-quality residential properties.
The information contained, and the opinions expressed, in this article are not intended to be construed as investment advice. VIP Realty does not guarantee or warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein. Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision. VIP Realty will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on the information or opinions contained herein.